EWMA
Definition / Formula
How much the coin is moving right now: the typical size of one 5-minute move, in percent, weighted towards the most recent bars.
r = ln(close / previous close) per 5-minute bar
var = 0.94 * var + 0.06 * r^2 updated every bar (lambda = 0.94)
EWMA = sqrt(var) * 100 shown as % per 5-minute bar
- Reading it:
0.50%means a typical 5-minute move for this coin is currently about ±0.5%. - Memory: recent bars dominate. A bar’s weight halves every ~11 bars (~56 minutes), so a single spike fades over roughly 2 to 4 hours.
- Closed bars only: the bar that is still forming is never included. The value changes once per closed 5-minute bar.
- Input: the stored 5-minute history: 21 weekdays on the weekday calendar, 20 weekend days on the weekend calendar, today’s partial day counted as one of them. A value needs at least 60 returns, that is 61 bars.
- Context only: EWMA never decides a tier. It only hides rows when its
MINfilter is set.
UI Breakdown
Centred text at 11 px in a muted tone, two decimals and a percent sign. The cell shows an em dash when there are fewer than 61 bars, when the variance is zero, or while a TradFi instrument is closed for the weekend.
| Control | Action | Effect |
|---|---|---|
MIN box above the column | type a number | keep rows >= (at or above) (sqrt(variance) x 100, i.e. the percent shown; 0.3 keeps 0.30% and up) |
| Column header | click | sort descending (largest first); click again to flip |
Value Ranges
| See | Value Band | Status | Visual Appearance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Below 0.15% | Calm: small recent moves | Muted text | |
| 0.15% to 0.35% | Normal recent movement | Muted text | |
| Above 0.35% | Hot: large recent moves | Muted text | |
| Fewer than 61 bars, no variance, or session closed | Not available | Em dash |
The bands are a reading guide; the cell itself has no colour coding. EWMA is most informative during the New York session.
Summary: EWMA is the coin’s current 5-minute volatility, weighted to the last hour or two; the highest values are the coins moving most right now.